Abstract: . . .  regionally dominant modes of climate variability on Precipitation and Temperature El Nino La Nina SW Area Burned Reconstruction, PDO, & ENSO La Nina El Nino Climate - Wildfire Relationships Enable Seasonal Forecasts BLM USDA FS BIA NPS These relationships provide some skill in making seasonal forecasts of wildfire . . .
. . .  al 2002 Intl. J. of Wildland Fire log10 acres burned by month, 1 degree grid Westerling et al 2003 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Seasonal Forecasts: Forecast 2002 terciled area burned Forecast 2001 terciled area burned Forecast 2000 terciled area burned Below Neutral Above Below Neutral Above Below . . .
. . .  PDO + El Nino event: 5% --> 24% ~28% of annual areas burned since 1987 exceed 5% level Preliminary 2005 Forecast Feburary & March 2005 PDSI Percent of Large Forest Fires Occurring in Dry Conditions (PDSI +2)  . . .
. . .  variability on the energy system? How can utilities and public sector decisionmakers use this information to opimize system performance? Climate Forecasts for Improving Management of Energy And Hydropower Resources in the Western US Support NOAA and CEC Partnerships University of Washington Center for Water and Watershed . . .
. . .  Western US are a valuable resource BLM USDA FS BIA NPS CAP researchers were the first to compile a comprehensive Western fire history for recent decades from land management agency fire records Seasonal Cycle - Wildfire Ignitions May through October Fire Histories for the Western US are a valuable resource BLM USDA FS BIA . . .
. . .  system? How can utilities and public sector decisionmakers use this information to opimize system performance? Climate Forecasts for Improving Management of Energy And Hydropower Resources in the Western US Support NOAA and CEC Partnerships University of Washington Center for Water and Watershed Studies Climate Impacts . . .
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