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Abstract: . . . Alexandra, “Manufacturing Energy Requirements and Energy Payback of Crystalline and Amorphous Silicon PV Modules,” Proceedings of the 1994 Annual Conference, American Solar Energy Society, San Jose, CA, June, 1994. Wenger, H.J., Hoff, T.E., and B.K. Farmer, "Measuring the Value of Distributed Photovoltaic Generation: Final Results of the Kerman Grid-Support Project", First World Conference on Photovoltaic Energy Conversion, Waikoloa, Hawaii, December 1994. Wenger, H.J. and T.E. Hoff, The Value of Photovoltaics in the Distribution System: The Kerman Grid-Support Project, Final Report, Pacific Gas & Electric Company and the U.S. Department of Energy, San Ramon, CA, June 1995a. Wenger, H.J. and T.E. Hoff, QuickScreen: A Distributed Resource Planning Tool, Sandia National Laboratories and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Albuquerque, NM, June 1995b. Wenger, H.J. and T.E. Hoff, Validating QuickScreen, A Distributed Resource Planning Tool, Distributed Resources . . . . . . lower curve assumes that of this upper bound market, about 1% of the population will purchase PV. The result is a market of about 30 MW of residential rooftop PV systems at prices between $2,500-$4,000/kW. Again, these are very gross estimates, but they illustrate the rather large potential for customerowned PV systems depending on PV system price and electricity rates. Ultimately, it is very difficult to speculate as to how many consumers would actually make a financial investment in PV, since economics is not the sole criterion by which people make purchase decisions. For example, customers would be far more willing to engage in a PV purchase if the District were somehow involved. Market research, such as focus groups and surveys, are required to better understand the customer-owned PV market. In any case, it is likely that as PV system prices approach $2,000/kW they will be deployed in much larger quantities by independent power developers and energy service companies. 6-3 Rancho Cordova . . . . . . 303-790-7200 Roof Consultants Institute (RCI) 7424 Chapel Hill Road Raleigh, NC 27607 Phone: 919-859-0742 Building Industry Association (BIA) of Sacramento John Orr, Executive Director Phone: 916-575-1430 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 10-6 Appendices are in Hard Copy Form Only Appendix A – District Maps Appendix B – QuickScreen Data Sheets and Charts Appendix C – Marginal Cost Data Appendix D – Rooftop PV Market Potential Tables Appendix E – PVGRID™ Sample Output Appendix F – Calculating Levelized Benefits and Costs 10-7 . . . --3000,3,500,2744,251087
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